KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Kylian Mbappe (99%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Kylian Mbappe
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 6:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityKylian Mbappe 99%+73.0ptLeader of 54 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.5M
Liquidity
$32.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleDec 16, 25, 3:00 PMAug 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Kylian Mbappe99%
Lionel Messi1%
Mikel Oyarzabal3%
1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Kylian Mbappe
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $20.5M | $32.6M | 7 days ago | |
 Polymarket88% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $2.1M | $0 | 6 days ago | Open → |
 Rothera80% match · linked | Low | 100% | — | $369.1K | $0 | 5 days ago | Open → |
 Limitless88% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $2.6K | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
| Limitless80% match · linked | Low | 93% | — | $10 | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
 Futuur88% match · linked | Low | 89% | — | $226.5 | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · linked | — | 99% | — | — | — | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
6.9 ptsClosed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (100%)
+6.5pt100%
-6.9pt0%
-11.3pt0%
+77 more outcomes
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$76.7M
24h Vol$2.1M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Boot (top scorer)
Closed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (99.3%)
+8.7pt99.3%
-8.2pt0.2%
-0.2pt0.2%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast224 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Limitless
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Closed
Resolved
Kylian Mbappe (99.7%)
86%
4.4%
2.5%
+9 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$146.5K
24h Vol$2.6K
LIMITLESSAlso available on Futuur
Winner of the Golden Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (tournament's top scorer)
Closed
71.8%
14.5%
7.3%
+5 more outcomes
5 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.5K
24h Vol$226.5
FUTUURAlso available on Limitless
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Closed
92.5%
34.1%
4.6%
+7 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$10
LIMITLESSAlso available on Rothera
World Cup 2026: Top Goal Scorer
Closed
Resolved
Mbappe 2 (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+7 more outcomes
33 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$369.1K
24h Vol$369.1K
ROTHERARules
If Kylian Mbappe leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more players finish the tournament tied for the most goals scored, settlement will follow FIFA’s official Golden Boot tiebreaker rules: first, most assists; if still tied, fewest minutes played.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Harry Kane leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lionel Messi leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k99.0%KALSHILionel Messi — No7d ago
KALSHILionel Messi — No7d ago$1.3k99.0%KALSHILionel Messi — No7d ago
KALSHILionel Messi — No7d ago$3.0k97.6%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Noburnburn7d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Noburnburn7d ago$40.0k97.4%POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nowan1237d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nowan1237d ago$1.0k96.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$1.2k93.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$2.3k92.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago$8.3k92.0%KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d ago
KALSHIKylian Mbappe — Yes8d agoVolume trend
$20.5MJul 218d of dataJul 19
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If Kylian Mbappe leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more players finish the tournament tied for the most goals scored, settlement will follow FIFA’s official Golden Boot tiebreaker rules: first, most assists; if still tied, fewest minutes played.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Harry Kane leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lionel Messi leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.