Will Artemis or Starship reach space first?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Artemis
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Artemis100%
Starship0%
ArtemisWon
StarshipLost
Rules
This is a market on which launch will be successfully completed first: NASA's Artemis or SpaceX's Starship.
- If NASA's Artemis completes a successful launch before SpaceX's Starship, this market will resolve to "Artemis".
- If SpaceX's Starship completes a successful launch before NASA's Artemis, this market will resolve to "Starship".
- This market may resolve as soon as one of the mentioned launches is successfully completed.
- If neither launch is successfully completed by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- A successful launch will mean that either mission takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches the Karman Line, an altitude of at least 100 Kilometers (~62 miles) above sea level.
