Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 14, 22, 12:00 AMNov 30, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080)
- The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice.
- This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account.
- Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? resolve?
- Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2022.
- How is Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED".