Current implied probability
Yes 60%
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$227.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 73.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 29, 26, 12:17 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze.
- Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
- "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup.
- This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31? resolve?
- Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026.