Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm?
Weather
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Sep 26, 2023, 8:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleSep 13, 23, 12:13 AMSep 25, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical storm system currently named Lee makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/LEE.shtml).
- If Lee does not hit the United States by September 25, 2023 ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lee is not officially reported to be tropical storm at its time of landfall in the conterminous US or dissipates without making landfall in the conterminous US, this market shall resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Lee has made landfall in the conterminous US at tropical storm strength strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm? resolve?
- Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2023.
- How is Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical storm system currently named Lee makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/LEE.shtml).