Current implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.1% / 1.9%
Spread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 7, 26, 6:48 PMAug 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | +97pt | $0 | $8.3K | 13 minutes ago | |
 Limitless65% match · verified | Low | 98% | +96pt | $0 | $0 | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Kylian Mbappe to leave Real Madrid by September 1, 2026?
1mo
97.9%
2.1%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$20.6
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid.
- A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
- If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
- If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 225d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid.
- A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
- If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
- If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".