Current implied probability
No 97.9%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
May 7, 26, 3:35 PMSep 1, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall65% match · verified | Low | 98% | +96pt | $0 | $8.2K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
 LimitlessThis page | Low | 98% | +96pt | $0 | $0 | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
0.1 pts1mo
98%
2%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to “YES” if it is announced that Kylian Mbappe will leave Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.”
If Kylian Mbappe is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Real Madrid, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.”
Only announcements of departures made between May 7, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify.
- Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count.
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from Kylian Mbappe, Real Madrid, or the signing club.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to “YES” if it is announced that Kylian Mbappe will leave Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.”
If Kylian Mbappe is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Real Madrid, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.”
Only announcements of departures made between May 7, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify.
- Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count.
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from Kylian Mbappe, Real Madrid, or the signing club.