Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 86%
No 86%Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$159.6
Low liquidityOpen interest
$336.7
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 17, 26, 7:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
- A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
- The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form.
- Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.