Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by August 31?
58.0 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffTechRegulationEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
↑$110B 100%+58.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+89.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 12:34 AMSep 1, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
↓$92.5B16%
↑$110B31%
↓$85B18%
↑$175B0%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anduril's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
