PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Trump 96%Leader of 12 outcomes
Trump 96%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$139.9
Liquidity
$723.8
Low liquiditySpread
96.1 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 7:50 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
TeslaWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
PolymarketWhat will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)
PolymarketPost Malone: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026)
KalshiWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?
PolymarketWhat price will Ethereum hit September 28-October 4?
PolymarketKATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.