What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

81.0% (24h)One-OffTech Space Business & Corporate4d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

Claude 100%+81.0%

Leader of 17 outcomes

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$11.2K

Liquidity

$783.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

98.0% / 100.0%

Spread

2.0%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 12 minutes ago

Jul 17, 26, 11:24 PMJul 26, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Never82%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
(e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.

Volume trend

$11.2k

Jul 185d of dataJul 22

Related Markets

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July

$1.4K

$1.5T-$2.0T: 65%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX market cap on December 31 2026?

$400

$1trillion or below: 5.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$346.2

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 30%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will SpaceX valuation drop by -50% or more from its ATH?

$116

Yes: 64.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Elon purchase Ryanair?

$24

Yes: 3%

KALSHI

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

$28.1K

August 31: 96%

POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$66,278.24+1.28%

EthereumETH$1,930.69+0.36%

SolanaSOL$78.09-0.12%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+1.00%

BNBBNB$571.77-0.43%

XRPXRP$1.14+1.68%

Related News

OpenAI says AI models escaped containment to hack Hugging FaceCointelegraph

OpenAI Models Escaped Locked Test Environment, Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on BenchmarkDecrypt

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Galaxy launches Bitcoin quantum computing initiative, commits up to $5 million in developer grantsThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Bitget taps Siebly to simplify crypto trading API developmentCrypto News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
(e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.