PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMovie A 50%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$33.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.1% / 2.6%
Spread
136.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 12:54 AMJul 14, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Movie A50%
Compare venues· Enola Holmes 3
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall89% match · auto | High | 1% | -1pt | $74.5K | $199.4K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 2% | 0pt | $1K | $33.7K | 7 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Top US Netflix Movie this week?
1.0%1d
-1.0%1%
-1.0%77%
1%
+9 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$259.5K
24h Vol$74.5K
KALSHIRules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.0kJul 86d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
Love Island USA S8: Winning couple
$6.5MAniya and Carl: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island USA S8: 2nd place couple
$1.6MMelanie and Sincere: 1%KALSHI
KALSHILove Island USA S8: 3rd place couple
$1.1MKayda and Zach: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
$56KSpider-Man: Brand New Day: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
$29.4K39-44m: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
$23.2K“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".