PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 39-44m (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
39-44m 100%+0.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-41.5%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 6, 26, 6:48 PMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
>44m0%
34-39m2%
39-44m100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$7.8kJul 69d of dataJul 14
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Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.