What song will be played first at the World Cup Halftime Show?
15.5% (24h)SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup2d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilitySong A 50%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$488.1
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 44.0%
Spread
4300.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-15.0%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 3:51 PMJul 19, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Song A50%
Compare venues· Dai Dai
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall75% match · auto | Medium | 41% | 0pt | $133.2K | $402.9K | 38 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 42% | +1pt | $488.1 | $1.9K | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show: First Song
3d
-6.0%41%
+3.0%6%
+4.0%6%
+34 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$607.4K
24h Vol$133.2K
KALSHIRules
The World Cup Final is scheduled to occur on July 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the first song played by an official performer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show.
- To qualify as "played" an official performer at the FIFA World Cup Final Halftime show must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.
- If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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KALSHI4 Minutes — No2d agoVolume trend
$488Jul 54d of dataJul 16
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The World Cup Final is scheduled to occur on July 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the first song played by an official performer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show.
- To qualify as "played" an official performer at the FIFA World Cup Final Halftime show must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.
- If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.