KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDynamite 2%Leader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$133.2K
Liquidity
$399.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 11:00 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Dynamite2%
Compare venues· Dai Dai
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 41% | 0pt | $133.2K | $399.8K | 15 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket75% match · auto | Low | 42% | +1pt | $488.1 | $2K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
What song will be played first at the World Cup Halftime Show?
15.5%2d
50%
50%
50%
+33 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$556.6
24h Vol$488.1
POLYMARKETRules
If the first song performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Hips Don't Lie'' as performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CLARIFICATION: This market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS).
- If none of the songs listed in this event is the first qualifying song performed, all markets in this event will resolve to No.
- When determining the first qualifying song, the following are disregarded regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem ("DNA") or other tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background or venue music not performed by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS).
- If another artist (e.g., Justin Bieber) performs one or more songs before Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), those performances are disregarded.
- The market instead resolves based on the first qualifying song reasonably begun by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the first song performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Hips Don't Lie'' as performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CLARIFICATION: This market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS).
- If none of the songs listed in this event is the first qualifying song performed, all markets in this event will resolve to No.
- When determining the first qualifying song, the following are disregarded regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem ("DNA") or other tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background or venue music not performed by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS).
- If another artist (e.g., Justin Bieber) performs one or more songs before Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), those performances are disregarded.
- The market instead resolves based on the first qualifying song reasonably begun by Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup.