PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Up 77.2%+0.5pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8
Liquidity
$10.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 100.0%
Spread
45.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
Open markets
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- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
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+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.14996%
- Above 1.15195%
- Above 1.15392%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.4K
- 24h Vol
- $17.4K
KALSHIEUR/USD price range on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 1.16200 to 1.1639968%
- 1.16000 to 1.1619924%
- 1.16400 to 1.1659913%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.2K
- 24h Vol
- $8.1K
KALSHIUSD/JPY price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 154.000 to 154.24974%
- 153.500 to 153.74944%
- 153.750 to 153.99934%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M+-10.0pt80.6%
- 2.1-2.2M+6.5pt12.2%
- 2.0-2.1M+1.0pt3.1%
+4 more outcomes
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- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
- ↓ 99.00+32.5pt100%
- ↓ 99.50100%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on September 8??
- Polymarket prices Up at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on September 8? resolve?
- US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on September 8? is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2026.
- How is US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on September 8? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) on September 8, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.