KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 153.750 to 153.999 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 8, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
153.750 to 153.999
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
153.750 to 153.999 99%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.4K
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
154.250 to 154.4999%
152.750 to 152.99910%
156.0 or above2%
153.750 to 153.99999%
153.500 to 153.7497%
154.000 to 154.24922%
154.500 to 154.7495%
155.750 to 155.9993%
153.250 to 153.4994%
153.000 to 153.24910%
152.749 or below7%
155.500 to 155.7491%
154.750 to 154.9994%
155.000 to 155.2493%
155.250 to 155.49912%
99%
22%
12%
9%
8%
7%
5%
5%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 8?
PolymarketUS Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 9?
PolymarketWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 154.25 on September 9, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWill USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is below 152.750 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is between 152.750-152.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is between 153.000-153.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is between 153.250-153.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is between 153.500-153.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is between 153.750-153.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Foreign ExchangePOLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
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+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.14996%
- Above 1.15195%
- Above 1.15392%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.4K
- 24h Vol
- $17.4K
KALSHIEUR/USD price range on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 1.16200 to 1.1639968%
- 1.16000 to 1.1619924%
- 1.16400 to 1.1659913%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.2K
- 24h Vol
- $8.1K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M+-10.0pt80.6%
- 2.1-2.2M+6.5pt12.2%
- 2.0-2.1M+1.0pt3.1%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
- ↓ 99.00+32.5pt100%
- ↓ 99.50100%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHINZDUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 0.56799%
- Above 0.56999%
- Above 0.57397%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.7K
- 24h Vol
- $3.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USD/JPY price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 153.750 to 153.999 at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does USD/JPY price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- USD/JPY price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2026.
- How is USD/JPY price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 08, 2026 is below 152.750 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.