PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Up
Resolved: Sep 14, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Up 100%+50.0pt
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18
Liquidity
$527.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleSep 11, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on September 14, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
