PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 8:16 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$340 100%+7.2ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$649.1
Liquidity
$8.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on September 16?
PolymarketTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 16?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of September?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsTesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices]
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on September 15, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
