This market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 8, 2024, 5:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 21, 23, 5:51 PMMar 6, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1.
- If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval.
- This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.
- The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.
- The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link].
