This market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 8, 2024, 5:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1.
- If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval.
- This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.
- The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.
- The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link].
