PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 3:34 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
>$2.5B 100%+2.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
>$2.5B 100%+2.1ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$48.5K
Liquidity
$16.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$49K
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+94.3 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 26, 10:02 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
>$1.5B100%
>$2.5B98%
>$3B100%
>$4B93%
>$800M100%
>$3.5B100%
>$2.5B100%
>$3.5B100%
>$3B100%
>$4B100%
>$1.2BWon
>$1.5BWon
>$1BWon
>$2BWon
>$800MWon
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks
- The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026
- If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.
- If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.