PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 17, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
>2M 100%+0.6ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$72.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-21.4 pts
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 1:51 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
>50M4%
>90M1%
>30M100%
>35M0%
>40M0%
>85M3%
>25M97%
>60M14%
>70M2%
>80M2%
>100M3%
>55M15%
>65M0%
>75M7%
>95M4%
>45M0%
>16M100%
>32.5M67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise.
- If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations.
- If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No".
- If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.