PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
5
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 5:49 PM UTCApr 16, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets
Manifold MarketsWill Supreme Court grant certiorari in a sports prediction market case in 2026?
PredictItWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the IRS or U.S. Department of the Treasury publishes formal guidance classifying losses from CFTC-regulated sports event contracts as subject to the 90% loss cap under Section 165(d) of the Internal Revenue Code, as amended by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, sports event contracts are contracts whose payoff is determined by the outcome, score, or statistical result of an athletic competition listed on a CFTC-designated contract market or swap execution facility.
- Qualifying guidance must be published in the Internal Revenue Bulletin or the Federal Register as a Revenue Ruling, Revenue Procedure, IRS Notice, IRS Announcement, final or temporary Treasury Regulation, or proposed Treasury Regulation that remains published without withdrawal for at least 30 calendar days after its Federal Register publication date.
- Guidance qualifies if it expressly applies Section 165(d) to such contracts or classifies them as wagering transactions for federal income tax purposes.
- Guidance classifying sports event contracts as wagering solely for purposes of Section 4401, Section 6041, Section 3402(q), or other Code sections that do not bear on the deductibility of losses does not qualify.
Open markets
ExchangeKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $76,700 or above99%
- $76,600 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $966.1K
- 24h Vol
- $827.7K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaablo
- KKHA+4.0pt63.1%
- ABLO-3.0pt36.9%
- Total Vol
- $512.1K
- 24h Vol
- $512.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.5pt100%
- 72,000+0.1pt99%
- 74,000-1.1pt96%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $70,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No66.2%
- Yes33.8%
- Total Vol
- $255.3K
- 24h Vol
- $252.6K
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azvebvan
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiabshe
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- How low will BTC get in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling??
- Polymarket prices No at 91% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? resolve?
- Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? is scheduled to resolve on April 16, 2027.
- How is Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the IRS or U.S. Department of the Treasury publishes formal guidance classifying losses from CFTC-regulated sports event contracts as subject to the 90% loss cap under Section 165(d) of the Internal Revenue Code, as amended by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21).