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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

0.5% (24h)ExchangeRegulationOne-OffForeign ExchangeUS Politics10mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 17%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$4.5

Liquidity

$7.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

12.0% / 22.0%

Spread

83.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-18.5%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 1, 26, 6:05 PMApr 16, 27, 4:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes17%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the IRS or U.S.

Polymarket
  • Department of the Treasury publishes formal guidance classifying losses from CFTC-regulated sports event contracts as subject to the 90% loss cap under Section 165(d) of the Internal Revenue Code, as amended by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21).
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For purposes of this market, sports event contracts are contracts whose payoff is determined by the outcome, score, or statistical result of an athletic competition listed on a CFTC-designated contract market or swap execution facility.
  • Qualifying guidance must be published in the Internal Revenue Bulletin or the Federal Register as a Revenue Ruling, Revenue Procedure, IRS Notice, IRS Announcement, final or temporary Treasury Regulation, or proposed Treasury Regulation that remains published without withdrawal for at least 30 calendar days after its Federal Register publication date.
  • Guidance qualifies if it expressly applies Section 165(d) to such contracts or classifies them as wagering transactions for federal income tax purposes.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the IRS or U.S.

Polymarket
  • Department of the Treasury publishes formal guidance classifying losses from CFTC-regulated sports event contracts as subject to the 90% loss cap under Section 165(d) of the Internal Revenue Code, as amended by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21).
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For purposes of this market, sports event contracts are contracts whose payoff is determined by the outcome, score, or statistical result of an athletic competition listed on a CFTC-designated contract market or swap execution facility.
  • Qualifying guidance must be published in the Internal Revenue Bulletin or the Federal Register as a Revenue Ruling, Revenue Procedure, IRS Notice, IRS Announcement, final or temporary Treasury Regulation, or proposed Treasury Regulation that remains published without withdrawal for at least 30 calendar days after its Federal Register publication date.
  • Guidance qualifies if it expressly applies Section 165(d) to such contracts or classifies them as wagering transactions for federal income tax purposes.