PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 84%+0.0%
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$502.1
Liquidity
$10K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.2%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 9, 26, 5:56 AMJun 13, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes84%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
- Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
- Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.