PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
<275mm 56.6%+17.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$13.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+19.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 1:41 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Precipitation in Seoul in September?
PolymarketPrecipitation in Seattle in September?
PolymarketPrecipitation in London in September?
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 2% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 1% in August 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
- If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
- If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
- The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
- Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-5.0pt61%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $108K
- 24h Vol
- $103.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above61.7%
- 88° to 89°18.7%
- 86° to 87°13.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $98K
- 24h Vol
- $97.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°57%
- 82° to 83°29%
- 79° or below9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30K
- 24h Vol
- $29.9K
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $68.2K
- 24h Vol
- $24.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° to 91°55.6%
- 88° to 89°21.3%
- 92° to 93°14.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25K
- 24h Vol
- $24K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Precipitation in Hong Kong in September??
- Polymarket prices <275mm at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? resolve?
- Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.