Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
49.5 pts (24h)One-Off
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Hiroshima Carp (100%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 3:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Hiroshima Carp
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Hiroshima Carp
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 3:21 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityHiroshima Carp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-50.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 1:02 PMAug 2, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tokyo Yakult Swallows0%
Hiroshima Carp100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Hiroshima Carp
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall69% match · auto | Low | 88% | — | $191.7K | $116K | yesterday | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 13 hours ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
45.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (88%)
+52.0pt91.7%
-45.0pt8.3%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$194.7K
24h Vol$191.7K
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.1k99.0%KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago
KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago$1.2k91.0%KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago
KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d agoVolume trend
$1.6kJul 235d of dataJul 27
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Rules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.