KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (88%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
36%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 12:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Hiroshima Toyo Carp
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 12:48 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityHiroshima Toyo Carp 91.7%+52.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$191.7K
Liquidity
$116K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 23, 26, 4:10 AMJul 28, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tokyo Yakult Swallows8%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp88%
8.3%
91.7%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 88% | — | $191.7K | $116K | yesterday | |
 Polymarket69% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 17 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
49.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Hiroshima Carp (100%)
+0.5pt100%
-0.5pt0%
23 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If the game ends in a tie the markets will resolve to 50/50.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.1k99.0%KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago
KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago$1.2k91.0%KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d ago
KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — Yes2d agoVolume trend
$191.7kJul 243d of dataJul 26
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If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If the game ends in a tie the markets will resolve to 50/50.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.