Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
57.5 pts (24h)One-Off
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (100%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 3:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Tokyo Yakult Swallows
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 3:34 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTokyo Yakult Swallows 100%+0.6pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+50.0 pts
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 18, 26, 1:02 PMAug 1, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tokyo Yakult Swallows100%
Hiroshima Carp0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall69% match · auto | Low | 71% | — | $163.9K | $83K | 2 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $2.7K | $0 | yesterday |
Also available on Kalshi
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
19.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (71%)
+16.0pt68.3%
-19.0pt31.7%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$170K
24h Vol$163.9K
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k91.0%KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — No3d ago
KALSHIHiroshima Toyo Carp — No3d agoVolume trend
$2.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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Rules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.