PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 8:43 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
$510100%
$52095%
$530100%
$5400%
$5500%
$510Won
Before close: 100% ·
$520Won
Before close: 100% ·
$530Won
Before close: 100% ·
$540Lost
Before close: 0% ·
$550Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22?
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PolymarketIn exactly two years, will two shares of Applied Micro Devices (AMD) be worth more than one share of Microsoft (MSFT)?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on October 21, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.