Current implied probability
New York City 42%+2.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$61.2
Liquidity
$45.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 34.0%
Spread
3.0%
Moderate spread7d Change
-12.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:05 PMJul 25, 26, 11:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York City42%
Compare venues· New York City
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 42% | 0pt | $61.2 | $45.1K | 15 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active85% match · auto | Medium | 42% | 0pt | $4.5K | $4.4K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
New York City vs Chicago Fire
16d
42%
-3.0%33%
26%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.5K
24h Vol$4.5K
KALSHIRules
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$61Jul 222d of dataJul 23
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This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.