Current implied probability
New York City 42%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
2.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 12:35 AMAug 8, 26, 11:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York City42%
Compare venues· New York City
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 42% | 0pt | $4.5K | $4.4K | 19 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · auto | Medium | 42% | 0pt | $61.2 | $47K | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC
1.0%2d
+2.5%42%
-1.0%34%
25%
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$61.2
24h Vol$61.2
POLYMARKETRules
If New York City wins the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.5kJul 204d of dataJul 23
Related Markets
Active in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot leadBlockchain.News
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds put Messi at 90.95% for Golden Ball as $11.1M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices 'History' at 95% for Argentina–Spain broadcast phrase ladderBlockchain.News
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto NewsRules
If New York City wins the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.