PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
24°C 43.3%+21.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$35.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 5:43 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 25 C on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 26 C on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 27 C on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+10.0pt43%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $248.5K
- 24h Vol
- $236.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+26.0pt60%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt22.7%
- 83° or above-6.0pt9.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+77.0pt78.2%
- 90° to 91°-32.0pt17.3%
- 92° to 93°-34.0pt1.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°+37.0pt80%
- 76° to 77°+2.0pt16.2%
- 73° or below-39.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt49.5%
- 17–19-0.5pt29.3%
- 11–1315.2%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+43.0pt61.6%
- 74° to 75°-20.0pt19.2%
- 71° or below+12.0pt14.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15??
- Polymarket prices 24°C at 43% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.