PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 56-57°F
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 8:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
56-57°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
27%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 26, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
56-57°F 100%+73.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 1:29 AM UTCAug 24, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
56-57°F96%
49°F or below3%
50-51°F0%
52-53°F1%
54-55°F0%
58-59°F31%
60-61°F9%
62-63°F7%
64-65°F0%
66-67°F0%
68°F or higher0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).