PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
56-57°F 53%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$119.8
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 11:29 AM UTCSep 23, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 21, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 58 F on September 21, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 59 F on September 21, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- New York City+52.0pt99%
- Providence+41.0pt99%
- Newark+69.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $567.3K
- 24h Vol
- $551.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+40.0pt81.1%
- 90° to 91°-11.0pt15.1%
- 86° to 87°-20.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+19.0pt55.3%
- 75° to 76°-7.0pt37.9%
- 79° to 80°-2.0pt3.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 21, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+89.0pt90.4%
- 70° to 71°-28.0pt5.8%
- 68° to 69°-48.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
- 91° to 92°+32.0pt70.6%
- 89° to 90°-2.0pt22.6%
- 93° to 94°-20.0pt3.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 21, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+52.0pt92.3%
- 67° to 68°-8.0pt3.9%
- 63° to 64°-30.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 22?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 22?
- Rain in Chicago in Sep 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 23??
- Polymarket prices 56-57°F at 53% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 23? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 23? is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 23? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.