KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
57° to 58° 76.2%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$751.3
Liquidity
$691.3
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 20, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 20, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 63 F on September 20, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 62 F on September 20, 2026?
ForecastExHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
PolymarketRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 21, 2026, is less than 53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $81,000 or above99%
- $80,900 or above99%
- $80,800 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $829.9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Miami+13.0pt99%
- New York City+2.0pt99%
- Newark+5.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $562.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+76.0pt95.2%
- 80° to 81°-7.0pt1%
- 75° or below-26.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $72,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $651.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199-2.5pt40.8%
- 200-219+9.0pt38.8%
- 220-239+4.0pt12.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+23.5pt79.6%
- 65-89-2.0pt10.7%
- <40-20.0pt8.7%
+7 more outcomes
- BTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Google market share this week
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 20, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 20, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 57° to 58° at 76% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 21, 2026, is less than 53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 21, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.