PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
58-59°F 61%+19.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$175.9
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquiditySpread
19.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 5:42 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 15, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+10.0pt43%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $248.5K
- 24h Vol
- $236.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+26.0pt60%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt22.7%
- 83° or above-6.0pt9.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+77.0pt78.2%
- 90° to 91°-32.0pt17.3%
- 92° to 93°-34.0pt1.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°+37.0pt80%
- 76° to 77°+2.0pt16.2%
- 73° or below-39.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt49.5%
- 17–19-0.5pt29.3%
- 11–1315.2%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+43.0pt61.6%
- 74° to 75°-20.0pt19.2%
- 71° or below+12.0pt14.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15??
- Polymarket prices 58-59°F at 61% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.