PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
64-65°F 40.9%+18.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$9.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 7:29 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 17?
PolymarketHighest temperature in NYC on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 68 F on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 67 F on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago+19.0pt95%
- Miami+16.0pt69%
- Seattle+22.0pt30%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $149.5K
- 24h Vol
- $146.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 77° to 78°48.6%
- 79° to 80°33.6%
- 75° to 76°10.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $75.5K
- 24h Vol
- $74.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- 90° to 91°59.8%
- 92° to 93°22.4%
- 88° to 89°14.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.3K
- 24h Vol
- $40.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
- 24°C+5.0pt38%
- 23°C+15.5pt36%
- 25°C-14.0pt12%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- 72° to 73°55.1%
- 70° to 71°32.7%
- 74° to 75°7.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31K
- 24h Vol
- $30.8K
- Highest temperature in London on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 64-65°F at 41% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in NYC on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in NYC on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in NYC on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.