PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
31°C 36.5%+5.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$54.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 4:58 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+44.0pt95.2%
- 83° or above-11.0pt1%
- 81° to 82°-30.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $666.6K
- 24h Vol
- $628K
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+89.0pt95.2%
- 74° to 75°-29.0pt1%
- 72° to 73°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago81%
- Miami59%
- Phoenix47%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99K
- 24h Vol
- $98.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
- 31°C+34.5pt67%
- 32°C-6.5pt32%
- 33°C-11.3pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
- 28°C+57.5pt74.8%
- 29°C+19.5pt24.3%
- 30°C-0.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 80 F on September 14, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $57.4K
- 24h Vol
- $57.4K
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 78 F on September 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 79 F on September 14, 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 31°C at 36% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.