PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 9°C
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 10:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
9°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
28%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
9°C100%
10°C0%
11°C0%
12°C1%
13°C4%
14°C or higher16%
4°C or below0%
5°C0%
6°C0%
7°C1%
8°C6%
9°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°C or higherLost
4°C or belowLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on 23 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
