PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 27°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 10:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
27°C100%
29°C0%
28°C0%
34°C0%
35°C0%
36°C or higher0%
27°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
26°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
28°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
29°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
30°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
31°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
32°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
33°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
34°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
35°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
36°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) on 26 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.