PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 14°C
Resolved: Aug 30, 2026, 10:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
14°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
14°C100%
13°C or below0%
15°C38%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C0%
19°C0%
20°C0%
21°C0%
22°C0%
23°C or higher0%
14°CWon
13°C or belowLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).