PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
69°F or below 41%+20.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100.8
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquiditySpread
42.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 11, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 12?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Houston on September 11?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Houston on September 10, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Houston (HOU)(KHOU) be below 78 F on September 10, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Houston (HOU)(KHOU) be below 79 F on September 10, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
- 24h Vol
- $283.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt93.3%
- 89° to 90°-21.0pt2.9%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+52.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt1%
- 92° to 93°-17.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+19.0pt58.1%
- 84° or below26.7%
- 87° to 88°-15.0pt12.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $76.5K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+11.0pt40%
- 83° to 84°-1.0pt18%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt15%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Houston on September 11??
- Polymarket prices 69°F or below at 41% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Houston on September 11? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Houston on September 11? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 11? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 11? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.