PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
15°C 98%+48.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
15°C 98%+48.0ptMarket quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$575.8
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$541.8
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 4:31 AM UTCOct 25, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
15°C98%
14°C49%
10°C or below46%
13°C46%
11°C10%
12°C9%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C0%
19°C0%
20°C or higher0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on October 26?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Cape Town on October 27?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Cape Town on October 26?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Cape Town on October 27?
PolymarketVolvo closes remaining two dealerships in Cape Town, South Africa
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) on 25 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Cape Town International Airport (FACT) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
