PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Natalia MX (100%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 1:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Natalia MX
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 1:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNatalia MX 100%+0.3pt
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-33.0 pts
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Clersss0%
Natalia MX100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Natalia MX
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall75% match · auto | Low | 97% | — | $59.1K | $41.3K | yesterday | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $7.2K | $0 | 20 hours ago |
Also available on Kalshi
La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX
44.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Natalia MX (97%)
+14.0pt99%
-44.0pt1%
43 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$59.5K
24h Vol$59.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Clersss" if Clersss is officially declared the winner of the fight against Natalia MX, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Natalia MX" if Natalia MX is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Clersss or Natalia MX does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$7.2kJul 813d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Clersss" if Clersss is officially declared the winner of the fight against Natalia MX, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Natalia MX" if Natalia MX is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Clersss or Natalia MX does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.