KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Natalia MX (97%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 9:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Natalia MX
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Natalia MX
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 9:57 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNatalia MX 99%+14.0pt
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$59.1K
Liquidity
$41.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleApr 3, 26, 2:00 PMAug 8, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Clersss1%
Natalia MX97%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Natalia MX
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 97% | — | $59.1K | $41.3K | yesterday | |
 Polymarket75% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $7.2K | $0 | yesterday | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX
30.9 ptsClosed
Resolved
Natalia MX (100%)
+0.3pt100%
-0.3pt0%
26 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$13.7K
24h Vol$7.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If Clersss wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Natalia MX wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$59.1kJul 213d of dataJul 25
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If Clersss wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Natalia MX wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.