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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

2.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsSouth Asia6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December 31
December 31 86%-2.0%
Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$176.6

Liquidity

$13.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 87.0%

Spread

2.4%

Tight spread
7d Change

+8.5%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 15, 26, 8:24 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

December 3186%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.