How many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?
3.5 pts (24h)WeatherDaily6d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
0-20 39%-3.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$210.8
Liquidity
$283.4
Low liquiditySpread
75.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 6:53 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Men's Outdoor World Records to be Broken in 2026
KalshiWomen's Outdoor World Records to be Broken in 2026
KalshiWhich of these major individual NFL season records will be the next to be broken?
Manifold MarketsWill Furnace Creek, Death Valley record a high temperature of at least 129.0°F by September 28, 2026 (9/28/26)?
Manifold MarketsWill Sandwich Cat break all time high in 30 days ??
Manifold MarketsWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026.
- Tied records do not count.
- The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
- The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range.
- The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value.
- Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
