PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
≤6 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
≤6 21.2%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
≤6 21.2%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
≤6Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 7:56 PM UTCOct 19, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · ≤6
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.