PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
27°C 25.4%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$952
Liquidity
$46.6K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 4:56 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 20 C on September 11, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 21 C on September 11, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 22 C on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+8.0pt95.2%
- 89° to 90°-9.0pt1%
- 87° to 88°-1.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $184.1K
- 24h Vol
- $128.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- 84° or above+37.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-8.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- 25°C+58.5pt92.1%
- 26°C-24.0pt7.9%
- 20°C or below-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 10, 2026?
- 109° to 110°+52.0pt95.2%
- 107° to 108°-43.0pt1%
- 105° to 106°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 91 F on September 10, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $68.1K
- 24h Vol
- $68.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
- 27°C+60.5pt65.7%
- 26°C+30.8pt29.6%
- 28°C-39.5pt3.7%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 92 F on September 10, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 93 F on September 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 90 F on September 10, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13??
- Polymarket prices 27°C at 25% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.