PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
20°C 52.1%+9.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$18.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 20 C on September 11, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 21 C on September 11, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 22 C on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 24 C on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Washington DC+33.0pt99%
- Houston+26.0pt74%
- Atlanta69%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $120K
- 24h Vol
- $118.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above82.3%
- 84° to 85°12.8%
- 82° to 83°2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.3K
- 24h Vol
- $52.1K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°50%
- 82° to 83°33.6%
- 78° to 79°9.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.1K
- 24h Vol
- $28.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°50.5%
- 81° to 82°27.1%
- 78° or below16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.9K
- 24h Vol
- $25.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°53.8%
- 88° to 89°25.5%
- 92° to 93°15.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.3K
- 24h Vol
- $24.3K
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Houston on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 12?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12??
- Polymarket prices 20°C at 52% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.